Amanani okuthumelakungase kwehle ngemuva kokumiswa kwesivumelwano phakathi kwamavukelambuso ase-US nase-Yemen aseHouthi
Ngemva kokumenyezelwa kokumiswa kwempi phakathi kwamavukelambuso ase-US nama-Yemeni Houthi, inani elikhulu lemikhumbi ethwala izitsha lizobuyela oLwandle Olubomvu, okuzoholela ekugcwaleni ngokweqile emakethe kanye nembangela.amazinga okuthutha emhlabeni jikeleleukuwohloka, kodwa isimo esiqondile asikacaci.
Idatha ekhishwe yi-Xeneta, ipulatifomu yezobunhloli bezokuhamba ngemikhumbi kanye nezindiza, ikhombisa ukuthi uma imikhumbi yezitsha iqala ukuwela uLwandle Olubomvu kanye neSuez Canal esikhundleni sokujika izungeze iCape of Good Hope, isidingo somhlaba wonke se-TEU-mile sizokwehla ngo-6%.
Izici ezithinta isidingo se-TEU-mile zifaka phakathi ibanga lapho isitsha ngasinye esilingana namamitha angu-20 (i-TEU) sithuthwa khona emhlabeni wonke kanye nenani lezitsha ezithuthwayo. Isibikezelo esingu-6% sisekelwe ekukhuleni okungu-1% kwesidingo sokuthunyelwa kwezitsha emhlabeni wonke unyaka wonke ka-2025 kanye nenani elikhulu lemikhumbi yezitsha ebuyela oLwandle Olubomvu engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
“Kuzo zonke izingxabano zezombusazwe ezingathinta ukuthunyelwa kwezitsha zasolwandle ngo-2025, umthelela wengxabano yoLwandle Olubomvu uzoba ohlala isikhathi eside, ngakho-ke noma yikuphi ukubuyiselwa okukhulu kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu,” kusho uPeter Sand, umhlaziyi oyinhloko eXeneta. “Imikhumbi yezitsha ebuyela oLwandle Olubomvu izogcwalisa imakethe ngamandla amaningi, futhi ukuphahlazeka kwentengo yempahla kuwumphumela ongenakugwenywa. Uma ukungeniswa kwempahla e-US nakho kuqhubeka nokwehla ngenxa yentela, ukuphahlazeka kwentengo yempahla kuzoba kubi kakhulu futhi kube yisimanga.”
Intengo evamile yesikhala kusukela eMpumalanga Ekude kuya eNyakatho Yurophu naseMedithera ingu-$2,100/FEU (isitsha esingamamitha angu-40) kanye no-$3,125/FEU, ngokulandelana. Lokhu kungukukhuphuka ngo-39% kanye no-68% ngokulandelana uma kuqhathaniswa namazinga angaphambi kwenkinga yoLwandle Olubomvu ngoDisemba 1, 2023.
Intengo yendawo kusukela eMpumalanga Ekude kuya e-East Coast kanye nase-West Coast yeI-United Statess ingu-$3,715/FEU kanye no-$2,620/FEU, ngokulandelana. Lokhu kungukwenyuka ngo-49% kanye no-59% ngokulandelana uma kuqhathaniswa namazinga angaphambi kwenkinga yoLwandle Olubomvu.
Nakuba uSand ekholelwa ukuthi amazinga okuthutha impahla endaweni ethile angase ehle aye emazingeni angaphambi kwenhlekelele yoLwandle Olubomvu, uxwayisa ngokuthi isimo sisalokhu sishintshashintsha futhi ubunzima obuhilelekile ekubuyiseleni imikhumbi yeziqukathi eSuez Canal kudingeka buqondwe kahle. “Izinkampani zezindiza kudingeka ziqinisekise ukuphepha kwesikhathi eside kwabasebenzi bazo nemikhumbi, ingasaphathwa eyokuphepha kwempahla yamakhasimende azo. Mhlawumbe okubaluleke kakhulu, kufanele kanjalo nabahlinzeki bomshuwalense.”
Lesi sihloko singesokubhekisela kuphela futhi asiyona iseluleko sokutshala imali.
